What grapeswhiz has been up to

There's me in the purple (grapes-colored, naturally) line pulling in the 22.73% while the indices lag pathetically.  Who's the alpha in this pack?

 In case you don't want to zoom in, here's a relevant clip:

 

Also, I've only had May and June in which to accomplish this.  Why follow hot-air balloons on X who never stop talking but never prove anything, either?  Why chase them as if they know what's going on, when their chief talent may be verbosity? It's no detriment to me - I'll just be over here cultivating the alpha and sweeping in the harvest.

Today's report.  

My stake is going to hop around a bit due to funds being moved in and out of a futures account, but should stay stable within a range:

                                                                   $41.13 

My new status: 

                                                                  $94.23

follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz 

grapeswhiz, or trading whiz Cathie Wood - who's it going to be?

Today's report.  My stake unchanged:

                                                                   $43.50

My new results: 

                                                                  $91.62

But take a look at this chart.  Just enlarge it and scroll around.  If you don't want to do that, the tl/dz (too little, didn't zoom) is the indices claiming 0-7% increases over the last three months while I'm embarrassing them at nearly 19%, taking a clear lead.  

 

 

Looks like Cathie Wood is up that exact same amount for the same time period, which could cause things to go embarrassing for ME.

With my good friend Andrew Ross shorting the **** out of ARKK on the daily, let's see who comes out ahead in the end:  veteran fund manager Wood or the unknown and little-focused on fund of

  

follow me on X: @grapeswhiz

Count the muneez

Thought I wasn't coming back, right?  Well, get used to being wrong, if that's the belief you cling to. I'm here and I'm in gear, and this, to be short, is the report:

                                                                   $43.50

is my new stake, since I had to take out some muneez, and the current taking of the account's temperature is

                                                                  $90.55

Notional to some number that may be infinity (but isn't.)  

Not sure how Cathie Wood is doing in the same timeframe, but quick math will tell you I'm up over 100%. 108% if we're doing the computations.

 

 

follow me on X: @grapeswhiz

Check in on me, and check in on Cathie

Let's get up to date now that May is over.

Withdrawals from the account have now made my stake:

                                                                   $44.50

That's my investment in the account that, as of May 30th, was worth

                                                                  $87.05

There's a multiplier, if you haven't been following along.  But that gets you an idea of what I'm up to, and have been up to for the last month.

Hoping to get some traction soon. See my account performance slipping as compared to the last update:

 

It's dramatic embellishment to say my account performance is slipping.  Does the weather change from one day to the next?  Does any stock price go up in a straight line?  Any sagging in my account pales next to accounts that belong to the likes of:

Come on, Cathie - don't embarrass yourself.  Don't let me outdo you.  While I'm disappointed by my 11.45% during the last three months (and I didn't even get out of the gate until a month ago), you're clocking in at 3.3%.  I see you're set up to compete against me this time, for real.  Last time you wouldn't even get out of bed, but now you're coming out swinging.  But step it up or your junior competition is going to stomp on you and it won't be pretty!

 follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

May chugs along

Note that my performance is +14.92% in half a month.  Let's see what happens if it "goes away in May" and "makes me a buffoon in June."

follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

The first chapter of a story that's going to be crazy

Having moved everything from one brokerage to another (back to my favorite one - it feels like coming home after being away in prison), I'm going to track my progress in dollar increments, starting with a number and not specifying what the multiplier is. (Could be divided by ten - which means I'd only have $4, which is not the case - could be times ten, could be times 100, could be times 1,000, 10,000 or 100,000.  I'll only confirm that it's one of those.)

Starting figure as of  Wednesday, May 7 is 

                                                                  $46.42

That's my stake in the account that, as of May 7th, was worth

                                                                  $73.77

 

That makes my profit as of that day 58%, so I could have cashed out and retired to a local cardboard box beneath an overpass (or maybe bought a flashy or modest street-numbered place of residence, probably not a private island, to be honest) and concluded my trading career.  But of course, I'm not closing anything down - in fact, this is exactly the start of  History of My World Part 99,001, so stick around and see what happens next.  

I will get some other graphics, charts, and general musings together tomorrow, along with an update on what's happened between May 7th and today.  I wanted to get this to print before too much time got away from me. 

follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

What a difference ten dollars makes

Last we checked in, UVXY was at 17.26 and today it hit 28.41.  Volatility index, indeed!  Volatile contracts on volatility, indeed!

Here you see me documented in history - look for the black dots and you'll see my little present to myself:  12 call contracts at 9 cents for this Friday at the 53 strike. Let the record show that at 12:54 PM, some pajama trader pressed the button for 12 contracts at 9 cents.

I paid about as much for that as you'd pay for a very decent lunch (for a few people at a nice place.) I don't need all that grease and sugar anyway, so I'm okay paying for this little decaying asset.

Let's see how this week shapes up. I'm sure there will be much to say about it. 

follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

New low charted for UVXY intraday

 The lower we go, the happier we grow. That's our mantra in my corner of the internet.  Today, though it was fleeting and followed by a slap in the face, we enjoyed the sensual moment while it lasted. 17.26 was the print and it wasn't revisited again for the remainder of the day but we'll be happy with what we can get.

  follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

Es good, und yummy too

Poll winners are those who answered "less than two weeks."  Who wants to step forward, identify yourself, and claim your prize?

It's two days less than two weeks later and UVXY has today touched a low of 17.53.  May that turn to 7.53 before we have time to think about it. In the meantime, let's celebrate.

 follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

Let's see who wins the poll

Yesterday I posted on Twitter (I refuse to call it X) a poll regarding UVXY. Whosoever is wondering what this weird acronym, abbreviation, or unpronounceable word refers to, check this link.

 

As you can see, most people are voting for a date of February 18th and a good additional percent of the voters are saying March 4th. So far no one is predicting a date later than that and no one is predicting "never."  We'll check back and report on which prognosticators won. 

follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

A short seller's tale

Not necessarily insightful or packed with analysis, but a factual record.  Short positions taken on January 6th and 7th went bad immediately but sitting on hands produced a favorable outcome.

Positions started at $19.20 and $19.40 on UVXY.  

Soon ran up to 24.59 (even higher in the extended trading hours).

Back to 18.91 as of this writing, January 16th.  This puts the position, in aggregate, at 1.97% ahead.

My nights, in the interim:

follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz

Hi from the beginning of 2025

You thought I was done, you though I was finished

You thought the grapestrades shine had diminished

But I'll be back this calendar year

I am indeed and for sure, still here

 follow me on Twitter: @grapeswhiz